Meet computer scientist and Superforecaster® Elan Pavlov
Superforecaster Elan Pavlov has “dabbled,” as he describes it, in many areas: mathematics and computational biology, machine learning, AI, and algorithms, law and even work on fish farms.
Superforecaster Elan Pavlov is a polymath. With a PhD in theoretical computer science and a postdoc in behavioral economics from MIT, he has “dabbled,” as he describes it, in many areas: mathematics and computational biology, machine learning, AI, and algorithms, law and even work on fish farms.
“I basically look for interesting problems and see if I can solve them,” Elan says in an interview with Good Judgment. One of the big projects he works on today is misinformation detection using provably correct solutions with tunable accuracy guarantees. At Good Judgment, he is known for his military expertise and his valuable insights into issues from AI to geopolitics.
His top advice to new forecasters is: “Realize that you might make a mistake. … Look for what’s different, look for when you’re wrong, and be willing to adjust.”
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