Good Judgment News and Insights

Good Judgment News and Insights

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Inside a Superforecaster’s Toolbox: Decomposition of Complex Questions
Clear thinking about big questions starts with a clear understanding of its components.
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From a “Happy Coincidence” to Consistent Accuracy: An Interview with Superforecaster Brett Specter
New in our Meet the Superforecasters series!
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Inside a Superforecaster’s Toolbox: Getting the Bigger Picture
One viewpoint rarely shows the whole picture. That’s why Superforecasters look for many.
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Inside a Superforecaster’s Toolbox: Nuance Matters
Just as a painter learns to discern subtle shades, a trained forecaster learns to perceive varying degrees of uncertainty.
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Inside a Superforecaster’s Toolbox: Belief Updating as a Mindset
Great forecasting doesn’t come from confidence—it comes from curiosity.
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(Service Update) Sneak Peek: How FutureFirst™ Superforecast Alerts Keep You Ahead
See an example of a Superforecast alert
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Good Judgment’s 2024 in Review
Superforecasters always keep score. As we turn the page to 2025 at Good Judgment Inc, we look back at 2024 for highlights, statistics, and key…
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Good Judgment News and Insights
Good Judgment News and Insights
Actionable, Early Insight with the Science of Superforecasting
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Telling the Future
Telling the Future
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Nonrival
Nonrival
Walter Frick
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Nicolò Bagarin - 404_NOT_FOUND

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